Statistical Models for the Support of Overbooking in Transport Service5

نویسندگان

  • Vladimir Averkiev
  • Mikhail Alexandrov
  • Javier Tejada
چکیده

Overbooking is a strategy of extra ticket reservation, which needs precise models concerning the probability of ticket acquisition. Without such models a company will have losses related to unused seats or compensation for the absence of these seats. In the paper we consider several models for such a forecast and demonstrate their functionality on real data of one Peruvian railway company. The best model includes an original algorithm of revealing seasonal prevalence.

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تاریخ انتشار 2014